Mitt Romney received no bounce from last week's Republican National Convention, as the 46% of registered voters who supported him in Aug. 31-Sept. 3 Daily tracking is essentially the same as the 47% who preferred him in Aug. 24-27 tracking, the four days preceding the convention.
Mr. Obama has gained two or three points in polls conducted essentially halfway through his convention suggests that his gains could eventually be larger, perhaps on the order of five points, once the surveys fully reflect post-convention data. Typically, the bounce grows over the course of the convention, peaking in interviews conducted just a day or two after it.
. . . What’s a bit more worrisome for Mr. Romney is that Gallup’s reporting of the head-to-head results in its poll occurs over a lengthy seven-day window, meaning that only a minority of the interviews in the poll were conducted before the major speeches at the Democratic convention.
In fact, most of the interviews in the poll were conducted just after the Republican convention in Tampa, Fla., a period in which Mr. Romney should have been enjoying a convention bounce of his own.
~ Nate Silver on 538 Blog, New York Times
Mitt Romney Is The First Republican Candidate To Receive A Negative Convention Bounce read.bi/NKtjE3— Business Insider (@businessinsider) September 4, 2012
From the look of this map, Romney has the Confederacy, the Mormons and 10 cowboys. nyti.ms/QlTscB— fklonsky (@fklonsky) September 8, 2012
RT @argylestyle The GOP base is voting against Obama. Period. Romney could be a turnip & the polls would be the same. That's just sad.— an evil weasel (@Anevilweasel) September 8, 2012
Let me see, we got an incumbent president ahead in the polls despite the worst economy in 70 yrs and some still think Romney's going to win.— Jon Kimball (@jonkimball) September 8, 2012
Gallup: Chairs still as popular as ever, Romney less so— The Daily Edge (@TheDailyEdge) September 7, 2012
Only 2 months remaining until Republicans blame Romney for losing the election.— Sabine Mariano (@TweetEverstrong) September 8, 2012
Romney's campaign appears to be ceding 247 electoral votes to Obama nymag.com/daily/intel/20…— Jonathan Chait (@jonathanchait) September 7, 2012
BLITZ: Romney camp releasing 15 new TV ads in 8 states Friday – CO, FL, IA, NV, NH, NC, OH, and VA— Michael Falcone (@michaelpfalcone) September 7, 2012
Romney halts ads in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin. His electoral victory just got much tougher. nymag.com/daily/intel/20…— Alex Langford (@ElForko) September 8, 2012
The big news that Romney is writing off Wisc, Mich & Pa confirmed by his campaign's hapless spin to the contrary wapo.st/OVrIaR— Frank Rich (@frankrichny) September 8, 2012
Apparently Romney campaign has zero Michigan offices? Weird. mi.tt/Q2tR6J— Joshua Pugh (@JPughMI) September 6, 2012
Romney goes dark in Ohio, because who the hell knows dailykos.com/story/2012/09/…— Markos Moulitsas (@markos) September 7, 2012
Romney's shrinking battleground means Obama needs to win Florida alone, or Ohio plus a small state, to win... pwire.at/Ts9bHL— Taegan Goddard (@politicalwire) September 7, 2012
The Romney campaign is also writing off Ohio, Guam, and Narnia. However, he is expected to carry Mordor & The Island Of Misfit Toys.— Ken Plume (@KenPlume) September 8, 2012